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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 25, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
SD

Freiburg
1 - 1
SV Darmstadt 98

Holer (35')
Weisshaupt (75'), Hofler (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Honsak (18')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Sunday, November 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 0-0 Mainz
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 0-0 SV Darmstadt 98

Although Freiburg will expect to return to winning ways in this match, their extensive injury list clearly makes them a less effective team at present, and we can envisage the visitors making life difficult for their opponents. Darmstadt will have taken great confidence from keeping their first clean sheet of the season against Mainz, and we would not be surprised to see them involved in another goalless draw this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 68.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawSV Darmstadt 98
68.2% (0.094000000000008 0.09) 17.17% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 14.62% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.14% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.86% (0.079999999999998 0.08)30.14% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.64% (0.096000000000004 0.1)51.36% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (0.040999999999997 0.04)8.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.53% (0.102 0.1)28.46% (-0.1 -0.1)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.54% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)33.46% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)70.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 68.2%
    SV Darmstadt 98 14.62%
    Draw 17.17%
FreiburgDrawSV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 7.85% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.93% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 2.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.48% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 68.2%
1-1 @ 7.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 17.17%
1-2 @ 4.08% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 14.62%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Sunday, November 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 5-0 Backa Topola
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-3 SC Paderborn
Wednesday, November 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Sunday, October 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-3 Freiburg
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 0-0 Mainz
Saturday, November 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-2 VfL Bochum
Friday, November 3 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 8-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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