Union Berlin
2 - 5
Bayern

Giesselmann (43'), Ryerson (65')
Jaeckel (15')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Lewandowski (15' pen., 23'), Sane (35'), Coman (61'), Muller (79')
Sule (30')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 0-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
19.79%	20.5%	59.71%

Both teams to score 59.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.24%

36.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.07%

58.93%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08%

31.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.63%

68.37%

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.97%

12.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.49%

37.51%

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 19.79%

Bayern Munich 59.71%

Draw 20.5%

Union Berlin	Draw	Bayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.3% 1-0 @ 4.39% 2-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.49% Total : 19.79%	1-1 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 3.84% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.5%	1-2 @ 9.83% 0-2 @ 8.61% 0-1 @ 8.13% 1-3 @ 6.94% 0-3 @ 6.08% 2-3 @ 3.96% 1-4 @ 3.68% 0-4 @ 3.22% 2-4 @ 2.1% 1-5 @ 1.56% 0-5 @ 1.36% Other @ 4.23% Total : 59.71%