It is hard to split these two teams, with Leipzig obviously possessing superior individual quality, but Union Berlin's counter-attacking style is likely to hurt them.
As such, it would be no surprise to see Leipzig draw a third successive match, with both teams probably content enough with that potential outcome.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.2) 
