SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Werder Bremen |
47.57% ( -0.99) | 22.97% ( 0.3) | 29.46% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 62.42% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.56% ( -1.03) | 38.43% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.27% ( -1.1) | 60.72% ( 1.09) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.5% ( -0.75) | 16.49% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.78% ( -1.36) | 46.21% ( 1.36) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -0.07) | 25.24% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40% ( -0.1) | 59.99% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.51% Total : 47.57% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.46% |
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