SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.81%) and 2-0 (4.96%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Augsburg |
39.34% ( -0.35) | 22.71% ( -0.5) | 37.95% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 66.51% ( 2.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.65% ( 2.62) | 34.35% ( -2.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.74% ( 2.89) | 56.26% ( -2.89) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% ( 0.96) | 18.14% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.9% ( 1.62) | 49.1% ( -1.62) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.24% ( 1.55) | 18.76% ( -1.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.85% ( 2.53) | 50.15% ( -2.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.61)2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.94% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.48)3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.71% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.07)3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.95% |
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