Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Roma had a probability of 14.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
-0.42) 
0.13) 
