Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
27.53% ( 0.04)	24.37% ( 0.01)	48.1% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 56.11% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.87% (

-0.01)

46.13% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.57% (

-0.01)

68.43% (

0.01)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.49% (

0.03)

30.5% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.27% (

0.03)

66.72% (

-0.03)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

-0.02)

19.26% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.01% (

-0.04)

50.98% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Roma 27.53%

Bayer Leverkusen 48.1%

Draw 24.37%

Roma	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 27.53%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.2% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 48.1%