SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
40.8% ( -1.01) | 25.31% ( -0) | 33.88% ( 1.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.21% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( 0.26) | 47.47% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( 0.24) | 69.68% ( -0.24) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.89% ( -0.38) | 23.1% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.04% ( -0.57) | 56.96% ( 0.56) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( 0.75) | 26.9% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.77% ( 0.97) | 62.22% ( -0.98) |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.88% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
