SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.84%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 14.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 3-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
68.84% ( -0.14) | 17.09% ( 0.04) | 14.07% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.93% ( 0.02) | 31.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.53% ( 0.02) | 52.47% ( -0.02) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.79% ( -0.02) | 8.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.27% ( -0.06) | 28.72% ( 0.06) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( 0.14) | 34.8% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( 0.14) | 71.54% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.59% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.3% 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 68.84% | 1-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.86% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.09% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 14.07% |
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