SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 3 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Koln | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Augsburg | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
52.06% ( 0.7) | 20.94% ( -0.54) | 27% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 68.02% ( 1.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.72% ( 2.56) | 30.28% ( -2.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.47% ( 3.01) | 51.53% ( -3.01) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% ( 1.09) | 12.08% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.38% ( 2.26) | 37.61% ( -2.26) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( 1.25) | 22.62% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.75% ( 1.82) | 56.24% ( -1.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.36)1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.6)3-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.14)4-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.16)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.81% Total : 52.06% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.41)3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.44)2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.13% Total : 27% |
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