With Fullkrug and Ducksch in such excellent form, we can envisage the visitors scoring, but Dortmund should have too much for them overall. As last week's victory in Freiburg showed, BVB do not even necessarily need their main cast to fire to record victories, although they should be fired up by the competition for places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Werder Bremen
52.06% ( 0.7)	20.94% ( -0.54)	27% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 68.02% (

1.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.72% (

2.56)

30.28% (

-2.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.47% (

3.01)

51.53% (

-3.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.91% (

1.09)

12.08% (

-1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.38% (

2.26)

37.61% (

-2.26)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.37% (

1.25)

22.62% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.75% (

1.82)

56.24% (

-1.82)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 52.06%

Werder Bremen 27%

Draw 20.94%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.36) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.6) 3-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.21) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.14) 4-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.16) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.81% Total : 52.06%	1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.55) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.41) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.53% Total : 20.94%	1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.44) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.13% Total : 27%