While Leipzig have been poor in front of goal this season, it would be surprising if they failed to score for a third consecutive league match.
Considering Augsburg's worrying top-flight record recently, they could struggle to get back into the game if the hosts were to score first.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
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