SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
39.43% ( -1.1) | 23.92% ( -0.12) | 36.65% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 61.74% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.5% ( 0.73) | 40.5% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.12% ( 0.74) | 62.88% ( -0.74) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( -0.2) | 20.74% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.64% ( -0.32) | 53.36% ( 0.32) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( 0.97) | 22.11% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.52% ( 1.45) | 55.48% ( -1.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.29)2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.33% 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.43% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.65% |
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