SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
45.65% ( -0.15) | 25.02% ( 0.08) | 29.33% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% ( -0.3) | 47.9% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( -0.27) | 70.08% ( 0.27) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( -0.19) | 21.02% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% ( -0.3) | 53.8% ( 0.3) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.89% ( -0.1) | 30.11% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.75% ( -0.12) | 66.25% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.65% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.85% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 29.33% |
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