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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
 
DL

Wolfsburg
1 - 3
Dortmund

Weghorst (2')
Lukebakio (25'), Lacroix (32'), Nmecha (37'), Arnold (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Can (35' pen.), Malen (55'), Braut Haaland (81')
Wolf (60')

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

We are predicting these sides to cancel each other out in this one on Saturday, due to the similar situations they find themselves in in the build-up. Neither are firing on all cylinders in front of goal in recent weeks, so although goals are usually expected in Dortmund's fixtures in particular, we can see this being a low-scoring affair at the Volkswagen Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
26.07%23.9%50.03%
Both teams to score 56.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81%45.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47%67.54%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87%31.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54%67.46%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87%18.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.91%49.09%
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 26.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 50.03%
    Draw 23.9%
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 6.59%
2-1 @ 6.56%
2-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.07%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 5.65%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 9.64%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 8.23%
1-3 @ 5.47%
0-3 @ 4.68%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 2.33%
0-4 @ 2%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 50.03%

Read more!
Read more!


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