Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Red Bull Salzburg win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
