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BL
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2020 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
RB

Bayern
3 - 1
Salzburg

Lewandowski (42'), Wober (52' og.), Sane (68')
Neuer (24'), Roca (48')
Roca (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Berisha (73')
Koita (58'), Camara (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 58.88%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Red Bull Salzburg win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawRed Bull Salzburg
58.88%22.98%18.14%
Both teams to score 48.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8%50.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.84%72.16%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.27%16.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35%46.65%
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.44%41.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.95%78.05%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 58.87%
    Red Bull Salzburg 18.14%
    Draw 22.97%
Bayern MunichDrawRed Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 12.43%
2-0 @ 11.11%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 5.82%
4-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 2.55%
4-2 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 58.87%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 22.97%
0-1 @ 6.11%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 2.68%
1-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.14%


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