SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.85%) and 1-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 (12.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Manchester United |
| 30.82% | 30.05% | 39.12% |
| Both teams to score 41.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.32% | 65.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.63% | 84.36% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.56% | 38.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.81% | 75.18% |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.28% | 32.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.73% | 69.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Manchester United |
| 1-0 @ 12.02% 2-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 30.82% | 1-1 @ 13.43% 0-0 @ 12.57% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.04% | 0-1 @ 14.04% 0-2 @ 7.85% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.12% |
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