Dynamo will hope to experience some long-awaited joy in front of goal against a depleted Bayern defence, but their lack of firepower in Europe is set to cost them dear.
Nagelsmann will not accept a hint of complacency from his side as they endeavour to seal top spot in the group, so we can only back a near full-strength Bayern to get the job done.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 63.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 14.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.8%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
