SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
47.98% ( -0.21) | 22.01% ( 0.01) | 30% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 66.37% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.58% ( 0.1) | 33.41% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.8% ( 0.11) | 55.2% ( -0.11) |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.53% ( -0.03) | 14.47% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.56% ( -0.07) | 42.44% ( 0.07) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.6% ( 0.17) | 22.4% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.08% ( 0.26) | 55.91% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.53% Total : 47.98% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.85% 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 30% |
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