SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Manchester United |
55.07% ( -0.2) | 20.38% ( 0.03) | 24.54% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 67.49% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.08% ( 0.04) | 29.92% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.91% ( 0.05) | 51.09% ( -0.04) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.87% ( -0.04) | 11.13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.44% ( -0.09) | 35.56% ( 0.09) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( 0.14) | 24.06% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( 0.2) | 58.34% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 55.07% | 1-1 @ 8.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.38% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.54% |
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