Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 55.07%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Manchester United |
55.07% (![]() | 20.38% (![]() | 24.54% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.08% (![]() | 29.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.91% (![]() | 51.09% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.87% (![]() | 11.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.44% (![]() | 35.56% (![]() |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% (![]() | 24.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.66% (![]() | 58.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Manchester United |
2-1 @ 9.2% (![]() 3-1 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.46% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 55.07% | 1-1 @ 8.37% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.51% Total : 20.38% | 1-2 @ 5.97% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.7% Total : 24.54% |
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