Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 13.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | VfL Bochum |
69.58% ( 0.02) | 17.39% ( -0.02) | 13.03% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 55.43% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.8% ( 0.08) | 35.19% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.79% ( 0.09) | 57.2% ( -0.09) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.89% ( 0.02) | 9.1% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.08% ( 0.06) | 30.92% ( -0.07) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.98% ( 0.05) | 39.02% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.26% ( 0.04) | 75.74% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | VfL Bochum |
2-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 69.57% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.39% | 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 13.03% |
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