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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
LL

Bayern
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Kane (7'), Goretzka (86')
Tuchel (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grimaldo (24'), Palacios (90+4' pen.)
Hofmann (34'), Wirtz (47'), Tapsoba (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayern Munich 3-2 Bayer Leverkusen

With plenty of confidence from their own fine start, Bayer Leverkusen will hope to catch out the defending champions at the Allianz Arena after the international break, and they should certainly cause the Bavarians problems with their attacking quality. We do, however, see Tuchel's men having just enough to outscore Die Werkself and take all three points from a tough test on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
47.84% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09) 22.85% (-0.163 -0.16) 29.3% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 62.74% (0.76900000000001 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.03% (0.936 0.94)37.97% (-0.938 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.77% (0.991 0.99)60.23% (-0.993 -0.99)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.78% (0.31999999999999 0.32)16.22% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.28% (0.581 0.58)45.72% (-0.583 -0.58)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.89% (0.631 0.63)25.11% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.19% (0.866 0.87)59.81% (-0.866 -0.87)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 47.84%
    Bayer Leverkusen 29.3%
    Draw 22.84%
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.41% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.156 -0.16)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.9% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.044 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.061 0.06)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 47.84%
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.07% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.151 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.043 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Bayern
Saturday, September 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 3-1 Augsburg
Sunday, August 27 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-4 Bayern
Friday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 0-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 12 at 7.45pm in DFL-Supercup
Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Monaco
Monday, August 7 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Liverpool 3-4 Bayern
Wednesday, August 2 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Teutonia Hamburg 0-8 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 West Ham
Saturday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, May 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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