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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
BL

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Barcelona

Calhanoglu (45+2')
Barella (23'), Calhanoglu (70'), Martinez (76'), Inzaghi (80'), Bastoni (88'), Onana (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Busquets (60'), Xavi (68'), Gavi (76')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Inter Milan 1-2 Barcelona

Defensively vulnerable and often unable to hold on to a lead, Inter are ripe for the taking this week, and Barcelona's much-improved squad are well-placed to take three points home from San Siro. Both sides are afflicted by injuries, but the greater depth available to Xavi means that which ever XI starts on Tuesday should have enough guile and experience to see off an ailing home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.58%) and 1-3 (5.28%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawBarcelona
34.71% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 22.15% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 43.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68% (0.0040000000000049 0)32% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)53.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)19.21% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (0.012 0.01)50.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)15.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)44.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 34.71%
    Barcelona 43.13%
    Draw 22.15%
Inter MilanDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 34.71%
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 7.04%
0-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 2.39%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 4.35%
0-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 2.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.02%
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 43.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 Roma
Saturday, October 1 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 3-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, September 18 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Plzen 0-2 Inter Milan
Tuesday, September 13 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Torino
Saturday, September 10 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-2 Bayern
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 3-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, October 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Elche
Saturday, September 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Barcelona
Tuesday, September 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cadiz 0-4 Barcelona
Saturday, September 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Plzen
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sevilla 0-3 Barcelona
Saturday, September 3 at 8pm in La Liga


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