Barcelona have won their last three matches 4-1, 4-0 and 3-0, and we are finding it very difficult to back anything other than a strong home victory here. Plzen could have a tough time in the section, and we are expecting Xavi's side to start their 2022-23 European campaign with a comfortable success.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.05) 
