Since their late collapse at Lazio last month, Inter have struggled for fluency and are a shadow of the side which lifted the Scudetto just over a year ago. Clearly missing the presence of Lukaku, they may find it tough to break down a capable Plzen team that can cause damage on the break.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.59%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
0.22) 
-0.15) 
