SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Roma | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Napoli | 4 | 7 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
32.93% ( -0.74) | 25.5% ( -0.99) | 41.56% ( 1.73) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( 3.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% ( 4.01) | 48.54% ( -4.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% ( 3.55) | 70.66% ( -3.55) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( 1.5) | 28.01% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.34% ( 1.87) | 63.66% ( -1.87) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( 2.69) | 23.2% ( -2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( 3.78) | 57.09% ( -3.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -1.06) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.93% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.52) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -1.14)2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.42)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.83) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.46)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.4)1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.27)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.56% |
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