Elche only narrowly lost (3-2) at Camp Nou last season, but it is difficult to imagine them causing Barcelona too many problems on Saturday afternoon. The home side's recent league form has been excellent, and we are fully expecting them to put another three points on the board here in comfortable fashion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 88.1%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 3.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.46%) and 4-0 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (1.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Barcelona in this match.
0.92) 
-0.5) 
