We said: Inter Milan 1-2 Liverpool
While Liverpool will be the favourites to win on Wednesday, Inter will also fancy their chances of securing a first-leg advantage in front of their home supporters.
The Reds have conceded in each of their last four Champions League away matches, but they should have enough quality in the final third to outscore their opponents and return to Anfield with a slender lead.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
