Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | Liverpool |
29.41% | 23.98% | 46.62% |
Both teams to score 58.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.79% | 43.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.39% | 65.6% |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.33% | 27.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% | 63.23% |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.29% | 18.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.93% | 50.07% |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal | Draw | Liverpool |
2-1 @ 7.16% 1-0 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 4.27% 3-1 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.83% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.87% Total : 29.41% | 1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-1 @ 8.68% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-3 @ 5.22% 0-3 @ 4.06% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.39% Total : 46.62% |
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