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Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 12, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Luigi Ferraris
IL

Sampdoria
2 - 2
Inter Milan

Yoshida (32'), Augello (47')
Thorsby (35'), Bereszynski (67'), Colley (82'), Silva (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Dimarco (18'), Martinez (44')
Brozovic (22'), Dzeko (89'), Correa (90'), Vidal (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 0-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawInter Milan
17.38%19.76%62.86%
Both teams to score 57.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.75%37.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.54%59.46%
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27%34.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54%71.46%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67%11.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64%36%
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 17.38%
    Inter Milan 62.86%
    Draw 19.76%
SampdoriaDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 4.79%
1-0 @ 4.16%
2-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-1 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 17.38%
1-1 @ 9.06%
2-2 @ 5.22%
0-0 @ 3.93%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.76%
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-2 @ 9.33%
0-1 @ 8.57%
1-3 @ 7.17%
0-3 @ 6.78%
1-4 @ 3.9%
2-3 @ 3.79%
0-4 @ 3.69%
2-4 @ 2.06%
1-5 @ 1.7%
0-5 @ 1.61%
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 62.86%

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