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Champions League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 23, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
DK

Benfica
3 - 0
Dynamo Kiev

Otamendi (27'), Silva (40'), Neres (42')
Musa (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Shaparenko (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Benfica 2-0 Dynamo Kiev

Benfica head into Monday's matchup as one of the most in-form sides in the qualifiers and will look to pick up where they dropped off in the reverse leg. They are currently firing on all cylinders and we are backing them to pick up another comfortable win, sealing their place in the Champions League group stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 15.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.88%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
BenficaDrawDynamo Kiev
60.15% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02) 24.12% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 15.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 41.06% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (0.065000000000005 0.07)57.92% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38% (0.050999999999998 0.05)78.62% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.9% (0.016999999999996 0.02)19.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.28% (0.029000000000003 0.03)50.72% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.76% (0.078000000000003 0.08)49.24% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.87% (0.055999999999999 0.06)84.13% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 60.15%
    Dynamo Kiev 15.72%
    Draw 24.12%
BenficaDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 15.57% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.11% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.41% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.91% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.72%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, August 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-3 Benfica
Tuesday, August 9 at 6.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Arouca
Friday, August 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 4-1 Midtjylland
Tuesday, August 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Benfica 3-2 Newcastle
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, August 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sturm Graz 1-2 Dynamo Kiev
Tuesday, August 9 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-0 Sturm Graz
Wednesday, August 3 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Dynamo Kiev
Friday, July 29 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-2 Dynamo Kiev
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-0 Fenerbahce
Wednesday, July 20 at 7pm in Champions League


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