Benfica will be licking their lips as their next task pits them against a floundering Pacos de Ferreira side who have stumbled into the new season. Looking at recent results between the sides and the gulf in morale and quality in both squads, we are tipping Benfica to come away with a comfortable victory in front of their home fans.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 81.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 5.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.87%) and 1-0 (11.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
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