SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Arsenal |
16.51% ( -0.14) | 21.89% ( 0.01) | 61.61% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.65% ( -0.26) | 48.35% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.51% ( -0.24) | 70.49% ( 0.24) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( -0.33) | 42.47% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.16% ( -0.28) | 78.84% ( 0.28) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% ( -0.05) | 15.18% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.2% ( -0.09) | 43.8% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 16.51% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 11.45% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.2% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.17% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.28% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 61.6% |
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