Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 24.89%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Arsenal |
24.89% ( -0.33) | 25.37% ( 0.07) | 49.74% ( 0.26) |
Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.75% ( -0.56) | 52.25% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.05% ( -0.48) | 73.95% ( 0.48) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.09% ( -0.59) | 35.91% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.31% ( -0.61) | 72.68% ( 0.61) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( -0.12) | 21.02% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.19% ( -0.18) | 53.81% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Arsenal |
1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.89% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.18% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.74% |
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