SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Everton had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Arsenal |
17.86% ( -0.68) | 22.12% ( -0.31) | 60.02% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% ( 0.23) | 47.13% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( 0.22) | 69.37% ( -0.22) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.91% ( -0.65) | 40.09% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.26% ( -0.6) | 76.74% ( 0.6) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( 0.4) | 15.29% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56% ( 0.75) | 44% ( -0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.86% | 1-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.96% Total : 22.12% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.81% ( 0.2)1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.77% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 3.18% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.35% Total : 60.02% |
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