SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.81%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester United |
54.81% ( 0.04) | 22.29% ( -0.13) | 22.89% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.28% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.96% ( 0.72) | 41.03% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.57% ( 0.73) | 63.42% ( -0.73) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% ( 0.26) | 14.91% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.71% ( 0.5) | 43.29% ( -0.5) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% ( 0.48) | 31.5% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.1% ( 0.55) | 67.89% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 54.81% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 22.89% |
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