Fener may be able to catch Lille out early on, as the hosts have had no competitive action yet and will take time to get up to full speed. With both sides boasting plenty of European nous and attacking flair, a few goals should be expected in this first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Lille had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Fenerbahce
34.64%	25.12%	40.24%

Both teams to score 57.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.55%

46.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.27%

68.72%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.04%

25.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.03%

60.97%

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.06%

22.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.29%

56.7%

Score Analysis

Lille 34.64%

Fenerbahce 40.24%

Draw 25.11%

Lille	Draw	Fenerbahce
1-0 @ 8.03% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.64% 3-0 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.36% Total : 34.64%	1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 5.95% 2-2 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 6.46% 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.17% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.24%