Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.1) 
