Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
-0.05) 
0.04) 
