Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
