Needing to cling onto a slender advantage at a stadium where Panathinaikos are seldom outclassed, an injury to Al-Musrati is exactly what the doctor did not order for Braga, who may have to adopt a more cautious approach with the Libyan absent.
Jorge's difference-makers in the final third can still create something out of nothing if needed, and while most of Panathinaikos' big-hitters are well-rested, a low-scoring draw will suffice for the Archbishops.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.
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