SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Braga |
18.95% ( -0.17) | 22.27% ( -0.08) | 58.78% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.27% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( 0.11) | 46.1% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.6% ( 0.1) | 68.4% ( -0.1) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.75% ( -0.13) | 38.25% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.99% ( -0.12) | 75% ( 0.12) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.65% ( 0.12) | 15.34% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.89% ( 0.23) | 44.1% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 18.95% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.3% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.91% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 58.76% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
