SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 2-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Qarabag FK in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Qarabag FK.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Qarabag FK |
34.93% ( 12.05) | 24.15% ( 0.7) | 40.92% ( -12.75) |
| Both teams to score 60.6% ( 6.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% ( 4.32) | 41.87% ( -4.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% ( 4.22) | 64.27% ( -4.22) |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( 10.72) | 23.65% ( -10.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( 13.33) | 57.75% ( -13.33) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.37% ( -3.49) | 20.63% ( 3.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.81% ( -5.82) | 53.19% ( 5.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Qarabag FK |
| 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 2.08) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.74)2-0 @ 5.07% ( 1.71)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 1.74)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 1.18)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 1.24)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.82)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.6)Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.93% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 1.09)0-0 @ 4.88% ( -1.01)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.5)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.14% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -1.02) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( -2.69)0-2 @ 6.08% ( -3.09)1-3 @ 4.61% ( -1.14)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 3.2% ( -2.19)1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.72)2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -1.11)Other @ 2.85% Total : 40.92% |
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