This has all of the makings of an excellent match, and we are expecting Real Sociedad to make this a very uncomfortable evening for Real Madrid. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Los Blancos will be able to navigate their way to another important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
-0.49) 
0.38) 
