SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
33.9% ( -0.06) | 27% ( 0.02) | 39.1% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.42% ( -0.08) | 54.58% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.07% ( -0.07) | 75.93% ( 0.07) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( -0.08) | 30.38% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.43% ( -0.1) | 66.57% ( 0.11) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( -0.01) | 27.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.34% ( -0.01) | 62.66% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cagliari | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 33.9% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( 0)0-2 @ 7% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.1% |
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