SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
25.97% ( 0.07) | 21.92% ( 0) | 52.11% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63.28% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.95% ( 0.04) | 36.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.85% ( 0.04) | 58.15% ( -0.05) |
| Red Bull Salzburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.63% ( 0.07) | 26.37% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.48% ( 0.09) | 61.52% ( -0.09) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.94% ( -0.01) | 14.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.35% ( -0.02) | 41.65% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.94% 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.15% ( 0)1-4 @ 3.05% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.03% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 52.11% |
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