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Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
SB

Zrinjski Mostar
0 - 1
Slovan Bratislava


Canadija (45+1'), Jakovljevic (52'), Kozulj (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sharani (53')
Barseghyan (39'), Lovat (79'), Borjan (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 2-3 Urartu (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
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We said: Zrinjski Mostar 1-2 Slovan Bratislava

These sides will remember each other well after meeting at the final hurdle of qualifying for the Europa Conference League last season, with Slovan Bratislava ultimately prevailing from that tie on penalties. There is little doubt that the Slovakian champions possess both greater European pedigree and individual quality, and we can envisage them gaining an impressive victory in Mostar on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 49%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawSlovan Bratislava
49% (0.1 0.1) 24.08% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 26.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
Both teams to score 56.53% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.33% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.034999999999997 0.03)18.58% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.061999999999998 0.06)49.86% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)30.56% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)66.78% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 49%
    Slovan Bratislava 26.91%
    Draw 24.08%
Zrinjski MostarDrawSlovan Bratislava
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 49%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.08%
0-1 @ 6.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 2-3 Urartu (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Urartu 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Tuesday, July 11 at 4pm in Champions League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-1 Zrinjski Mostar (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, August 18 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Tobol 1-1 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 11 at 3pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Tobol
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Swift Hesperange 0-2 Slovan Bratislava
Wednesday, July 19 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 Swift Hesperange
Wednesday, July 12 at 7.30pm in Champions League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-2 Basel (1-4 pen.)
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Basel 2-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zalgiris 1-2 Slovan Bratislava
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-1 Pyunik
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa Conference League


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