Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 35.54%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.27%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
