Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Stoke City
36.68%	28.39%	34.94%

Both teams to score 46.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.31%

59.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20%

80.01%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.84%

31.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.5%

67.5%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72%

32.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22%

68.78%

Score Analysis

Barnsley 36.67%

Stoke City 34.93%

Draw 28.39%

Barnsley	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 7.73% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.67%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.39%	0-1 @ 11.37% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.93%