Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
47.7% ( -0.44) | 27.24% ( 0.06) | 25.06% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 45.48% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.98% ( 0.03) | 59.01% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.51% ( 0.02) | 79.48% ( -0.02) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% ( -0.2) | 24.82% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% ( -0.28) | 59.41% ( 0.27) |
Preston North End Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.49% ( 0.36) | 39.5% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.81% ( 0.33) | 76.19% ( -0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Preston North End |
1-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 47.69% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.42% Total : 25.06% |
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