With an unbeaten home record such as Burnley's, we expect that to be extended to 13 matches versus inconsistent opponents. However, we feel that Birmingham will rise to the occasion in front of the television cameras, emerging with a hard-earned share of the spoils.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.98%) and 3-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
0.44) 
-0.05) 
